Duke
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 82.2754Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Elon 45-17 906 H Illinois B10 ( 9- 4, 85.2) 19-45 913 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.9) 27-34 920 H NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 84.3) 45-33 927 A Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 70.8) 38- 3 1004 A California ACC ( 7- 6, 75.6) 45-21 1018 H Georgia Tech ACC ( 9- 4, 81.8) 18-27 1101 A Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 80.7) 46-45 1108 A UConn IND ( 9- 4, 75.1) 34-37 1115 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 85.0) 17-34 1122 A UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 75.8) 32-25 1129 H Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 80.5) 49-32 1206 H Virginia ACC (11- 3, 85.0) 27-20 1231 N Arizona St B12 ( 8- 5, 81.9) 42-39
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Illinois 19-45 -26 0 --- -13.74
913 A Tulane 27-34 -7 -3 - -3.72
920 H NC St 45-33 12 1 +++ 11.34
927 A Syracuse 38- 3 35 9 ++ 5.20
1004 A California 45-21 24 4 +++ 9.97
1018 H Georgia Tech 18-27 -9 3 --- -12.10
1101 A Clemson 46-45 1 -1 + 2.12
1108 A UConn 34-37 -3 4 --- -7.48
1115 H Virginia 17-34 -17 0 --- -13.98
1122 A UNC 32-25 7 4 + 3.22
1129 H Wake Forest 49-32 17 4 +++ 9.52
1206 H Virginia 27-20 7 0 +++ 7.02
1231 N Arizona St 42-39 3 0 + 2.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 H Illinois 19-45 -26 0 --- -13.74 1018 H Georgia Tech 18-27 -9 3 --- -12.10 1108 A UConn 34-37 -3 4 --- -7.48 1115 H Virginia 17-34 -17 0 --- -13.98 913 A Tulane 27-34 -7 -3 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H NC St 45-33 12 1 +++ 11.34 1004 A California 45-21 24 4 +++ 9.97 1129 H Wake Forest 49-32 17 4 +++ 9.52 1206 H Virginia 27-20 7 0 +++ 7.02 927 A Syracuse 38- 3 35 9 ++ 5.20 1101 A Clemson 46-45 1 -1 + 2.12 1122 A UNC 32-25 7 4 + 3.22 1231 N Arizona St 42-39 3 0 + 2.62 |
Duke Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Duke | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Duke | |
| California | Duke | Duke | ||
| Clemson | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Duke | Duke 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Duke | Duke 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Miami | Miami | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Miami | |
| UNC | Duke | Duke | ||
| NC St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Pittsburgh | |
| SMU | Duke | Duke 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Stanford | Duke | Duke 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Syracuse | Duke | Duke | ||
| Virginia | Duke | Duke 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Va Tech | Duke | Duke 4- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Wake Forest | Duke | Duke | ||
| Army | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Charlotte | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Ea Carolina | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Fla Atlantic | Duke | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Memphis | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Navy | Duke | Duke | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | No Texas | |
| Rice | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Duke | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| UAB | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| UTSA | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Arizona | Arizona | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Duke | Duke | ||
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Cincinnati | Duke | Duke | ||
| Colorado | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Houston | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Iowa St | Iowa St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Iowa St | |
| Kansas | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Duke | Duke | ||
| TCU | TCU | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| We Virginia | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan | ||
| Michigan St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Minnesota | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Nebraska | Duke | Duke | ||
| Northwestern | Duke | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Duke | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | Oregon | ||
| Penn St | Penn St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Penn St | |
| Purdue | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Rutgers | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| UCLA | Duke | Duke | ||
| USC | USC | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Duke | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Florida Intl | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Jacksonv. St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kennesaw St | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Liberty | Duke | Duke | ||
| La Tech | Duke | Duke | ||
| Middle Tenn | Duke | Duke | ||
| NM St | Duke | Duke | ||
| SHouston St | Duke | Duke | ||
| UTEP | Duke | Duke | ||
| We Kentucky | Duke | Duke | ||
| UMass | Duke | Duke | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ball St | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Bowl. Green | Duke | Duke | ||
| Buffalo | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Cen Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ea Michigan | Duke | Duke | ||
| Kent State | Duke | Duke | ||
| MiamiOH | Duke | Duke | ||
| No Illinois | Duke | Duke | ||
| Ohio | Duke | Duke | ||
| Toledo | Duke | Duke | ||
| We Michigan | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Air Force | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Boise State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Colorado St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Fresno St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Hawaii | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Nevada | Duke | Duke | ||
| New Mexico | Duke | Duke | ||
| San Diego St | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| San Jose St | Duke | Duke | ||
| UNLV | Duke | Duke | ||
| Utah St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Wyoming | Duke | Duke | ||
| Oregon St | Duke | Duke 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Wash St | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Duke | Duke | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Georgia | |
| Kentucky | Duke | Duke | ||
| LSU | LSU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | LSU | |
| Missouri | Missouri | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Duke | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ole Miss | |
| So Carolina | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Tennessee | Tennessee | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Tennessee | |
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Duke | Duke | ||
| Arkansas State | Duke | Duke | ||
| Coastal Car | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Georgia So | Duke | Duke | ||
| Georgia St | Duke | Duke | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Duke | Duke | ||
| Marshall | Duke | Duke | ||
| Old Dominion | Duke | Duke | ||
| So Miss | Duke | Duke | ||
| So Alabama | Duke | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Texas State | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| Troy | Duke | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Duke | |
| La-Monroe | Duke | Duke | ||
| Delaware | Duke | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Duke | |
| Missouri St | Duke | Duke |
PowerWise = 99
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Illinois ( 9- 4, 85.2) 19-45 -14.69 32.68 -2.67 0.98 -8.51
0 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.9) 27-34 -17.02 30.35 2.67 0.98 -7.03
0 H NC St ( 9- 4, 84.3) 45-33 -15.61 31.76 -2.67 0.98 57.04
0 A Syracuse ( 3- 9, 70.8) 38- 3 -29.10 18.27 2.67 0.98 41.08
0 A California ( 7- 6, 75.6) 45-21 -24.33 23.04 2.67 0.98 50.43
0 H Georgia Tech ( 9- 4, 81.8) 18-27 -18.05 29.31 -2.67 0.98 -10.16
0 A Clemson ( 7- 6, 80.7) 46-45 -19.18 28.19 2.67 0.98 60.54
0 A UConn ( 9- 4, 75.1) 34-37 -24.78 22.59 2.67 0.98 -10.84
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 85.0) 17-34 -14.93 32.43 -2.67 0.98 -8.63
0 A UNC ( 5- 7, 75.8) 32-25 -24.08 23.28 2.67 0.98 50.92
0 H Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 80.5) 49-32 -19.43 27.94 -2.67 0.98 49.56
0 H Virginia (11- 3, 85.0) 27-20 -14.93 32.43 -2.67 0.98 58.37
0 N Arizona St ( 8- 5, 81.9) 42-39 -18.00 29.37 -0.00 0.98 57.60
------
380.36
|
winning pts = 425.5483 losing points = -45.1846
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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